Posted by: maboulette | May 20, 2017

Young People Leaving the GOP in Mass


Oreilly and Trump

The Republican Party controls all three branches of government, as well as 32 state legislatures and 33 governorships. Even if Trump were to be impeached for obstruction of justice—a dubious proposition as long as he has the support of the far right and the GOP holds a majority in the House—Neil Gorsuch will sit on the Supreme Court for decades, as will any number of federal judges. The White House would be inherited by the likes of Mike Pence, whose politics are arguably even more regressive and sadistic than the current president’s.

FOR DEMOCRATS

It’s bleak out there for Democrats and progressives, yet the future of the GOP may be more dangerous than it appears.

NEW PEW ANALYSIS

According to a new analysis from the Pew Research Center, 23% of Republican voters ages 18-29 have switched parties since 2015, against just 9% of Democratic voters in the same age range. As many as half of Republicans  30 and under have abandoned the party at one point or another during that time.

FiveThirtyEight

Meanwhile, FiveThirtyEight finds that Trump’s approval rating has sunk to 39.7 percent, it’s lowest since he took office—and that figure doesn’t account for the latest Comey memo revelations. The danger for Republicans is real, writes the Washington Post’s Philip Bump:

“Studies have shown that partisan identity is formed early on, with partisanship tending to correlate to the popularity of the president in office. As FiveThirtyEight noted in 2014, the most fervent Republican voters are those who were 18 at the outset of the Eisenhower and Reagan presidencies; the most Democratic were those who turned 18 as George W. Bush was mired in the Iraq War.”

Whether the Democrats are capable of harnessing that unrest is another question entirely. As the 2016 election made clear, demographics alone won’t save them.

 

Related content

Advertisements

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

Categories

%d bloggers like this: