Posted by: maboulette | February 22, 2017

Problems for President Trump with New National Security Advisor


mcmaster

President Trump has shown little patience for dissent, but that trait is likely to be tested by his new national security adviser, Army Lieutenant General H.R. McMaster.

MCMASTER

McMaster is joining the White House staff with opinions on Russia, counterterrorism, strengthening the military and other major security issues that deviate not only from those of the Trump loyalists, but also from those the president himself has expressed.

MILITARY INTELLECTUAL

A military intellectual whose ideas have been fashioned more by experience than by emotion, more by practice than by politics, and more by intellect than by impulse may also find himself in political terrain that may be as alien, and perhaps as hostile, to him as the sands and cities of Afghanistan and Iraq were.

MCMASTER NOT ALONE

McMaster will not be alone, however. His conspicuous administration allies include Defense Secretary Jim Mattis; Marine General Joseph Dunford, the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff; and Senator John McCain, chairman of the Senate Armed Services Committee; as well as many of the soldiers who have served with him.

PRESS SECRETARY

White House press secretary Sean Spicer said on Tuesday that Trump told McMaster “he’s got full authority to structure the national security team the way he wants.”

BANNON

Trump, however, already has taken the uncommon step of adding Steve Bannon, his chief strategic adviser known for right-wing ideological views, to the White House National Security Council. “The real potential for flashpoints is with some of the people that Steve Bannon has brought into the administration … people who see things very ideologically,” said Andrew Exum, a former Army officer and Defense Department Mideast policy official and McMaster friend for more than a decade.

STRENGTHENED LEVERAGE

Trump’s early missteps on immigration and other issues “have strengthened the leverage available to not only H.R. McMaster, but also Defense Secretary Mattis and Secretary (of State Rex) Tillerson potentially,” Exum said.  But, remember McMaster will not be alone, however. He has administration allies also.

That is not to say McMaster is a shaved-headed intellectual hesitant to use force. Twenty-one of his troopers were killed in action in Tal Afar, and one unit suffered 40 percent casualties.

RUSSIA TEST

A second early test for McMaster will be Russia policy.

Unlike his predecessor, Michael Flynn, and Trump himself, McMaster regards Moscow as an adversary rather than a potential partner. Last May, at the Center for Strategic and International Studies think tank, McMaster cited Russia’s annexation of Crimea and support for rebels in eastern Ukraine as evidence of a broader effort “to collapse the post-World War Two, certainly the post-Cold War, security, economic, and political order in Europe and replace that order with something that is more sympathetic to Russian interests.”

THIRD

A third area where McMaster’s thinking differs from the president’s speech-making is the size and shape of the U.S. military.  Trump wants to add tens of thousands more soldiers, expand the Navy to 350 ships from 282, and “provide the Air Force with the 1,200 fighter aircraft they need,” according to his campaign website.

In his scholarly 2015 Military Review article, which has 39 footnotes, including one citing Greek historian Thucydides’ account of the Peloponnesian War, McMaster argued that “promising victory delivered rapidly from stand-off range, based on even better surveillance, intelligence, information, and precision strike capabilities” is a fallacy that “confuses targeting enemy organizations with strategy.” The question now is whether McMaster’s views will have enough force to alter the course of U.S. policy set by the president and his closest aides.

CHALLENGES

“The real challenges he’s going to confront are not the challenges of strategy and the global responsibilities of the world’s only superpower,” said John Nagl, a retired Army colonel who helped rewrite U.S. counterinsurgency doctrine for the Iraq and Afghanistan wars.  “He knows how to deal with those things.” Nagl continued. “The challenges he’s going to confront are moral, dealing with an administration that has not always been clear in its support for American values.”

Whatever his odds, McMaster took the job not simply because his commander-in-chief could order him to do it.  But, he says “those who ignore history are doomed to repeat it; those who ignore them are doomed to watch.”

 

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