Posted by: maboulette | November 3, 2016

Momentum Is Switching to Clinton Campaign


For all the fact-free cable news punditry this week about supposed momentum on the part of Donald Trump, it’s easy to miss the fact that Hillary Clinton is overwhelmingly likely to win the election according to every polling average and predictive model. But even as Trump supporters and the pundits continue pointing to the turnout at his rallies (many of which are in states he’s losing), it turns out Hillary Clinton just pulled off one of the biggest crowds of the entire election – and she did it in a key red state.

Hillary Clinton held a rally in Arizona yesterday, a state that hasn’t been won by a Democrat in a Presidential election in a generation. It’s a sign that she’s still playing offense. And she’s within the margin of error in the polling averages in Arizona, a sign of strength. Moreover, she managed to draw a crowd of twenty thousand people in the red state tonight, a sign of momentum. Adam Parkhomenko posted a photo to Facebook which captured the sheer size of the outdoor crowd:

ariz-adam-560x250

Meanwhile Hillary Clinton will be in North Carolina on Thursday and Pennsylvania and Michigan on Friday, even as Bernie Sanders heads to Ohio and President Barack Obama heads to Florida.

The good news is this: 

Heading into the final days of the presidential campaign, the race has settled back into a tight contest, with Hillary Clinton holding an edge over Donald J. Trump after a month of tumult. Most voters say their minds are made up and late revelations about both candidates made no significant difference to them, according to the latest New York Times/CBS News poll released Thursday.

Five days before Election Day, the margin between the candidates is narrow, with 45 percent of likely voters supporting Mrs. Clinton, the Democratic candidate, to 42 percent for Mr. Trump, the Republican nominee. The difference is within the poll’s margin of sampling error. Gary Johnson, the Libertarian candidate, has the support of 5 percent of likely voters, and the Green Party nominee, Jill Stein, takes 4 percent.

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